This week’s interesting and quirky game stats for each game plus our all individual game tips, margins and our best plays for the week
This Weeks Media:
Topsport Market Watch Podcast | Spotify Here | Apple Here
Ball and All Podcast | Spotify Here | Apple Here
Jimmy Smith Show SEN Radio | Here
NRL Tips | Games Round 25 | 2023
Cowboys v Sharks
@ Townsville
Sharks have won 9 of last 10 head to head
Sharks have won their last 4 in Townsville
Cowboys have won 8 of their last 12
Cowboys have won 6 of last 7 at Home and 11 of last 15 (73%)
Cowboys are 12 of last 18 at line when home fav of 4.0 or more
Sharks have covered line just 3 from last 12 v top 8 teams
Sharks have lost 8 of last 12 distant travel games (interstate or OS)
Sharks are just 4 of last 14 at the line when interstate
Tip: Cowboys by 6
Warriors v Eagles
@ Mt Smart
Warriors have won their last 5 and 8 of their last 9 games
Warriors have won 5 of last 7 at Mt Smart
Head to head recent record is 4 games each of last 8 played
Eagles have lost 5 of last 6 distant travel games
Eagles have won only 4 of 12 games away from Brookvale this season
Warriors are 3 from 9 when a fav of 6.5 or more
Warriors are #1 at the line this season with a 15 from 21 record
Eagles are #15 at the line this season with a 8 from 20 record
Eagles last 6 night games and all been points under
Tip: Warriors by 18
Eels v Roosters
@ Parramatta
Eels won 7 of last 8 at Home
Roosters have won 7 of last 8 head to head, and won the last 2 at Com Bank Stadium
Eels have not covered the last in their last 4 home games at Com Bank Stadium
Home teams off conceding 50 points the week prior have a very high strike record covering the line next start
9 of the last 11 match ups have produced points over
Roosters sit 17th (worst) at the line this season at just 8 from 21
Roosters when fav at the line are just 5 from 13 this season
Roosters at the line away from home (Moore Park or SCG) are just 5 from 16 at the line
Tip: Eels by 4
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Friday 8th Sept – Red Lion Hotel Rozelle
Our annual Topsport NRL Finals Charity Lunch for Pass It On Clothing
Shane Flanagan guest speaker, Lara Pitt, Zac Bailey and a host of NRL personalities all in attendance for a fun filled social arvo talking all things NRL and semi finals – and raising money for an outstanding charity.
Lots of NRL raffle items, and quality auction items including a signed Cameron Munster QLD Origin jumper and a signed Reuben Cotter Australian World Cup jumper.
Last years event sold out quickly and we raised $23,500 for donation.
Tigers v Dolphins
@ Parramatta
Tigers have lost their last 10 games
Dolphins have lost 8 of their last 9 games
Tigers have covered the line at 9 of last 12 at this ground
Defence is optional for these two, Tigers concede 26.9 per game, Dolphins concede 26.8 per game
Tip: Tigers by 16
Titans v Panthers
@ Robina
Panthers have won 8 of last 9 v Titans
Panthers have won 4 of last 5 head to head at Robina
Titans have lost 5 of last 7 at home
Panthers have won their last 11 as fav
Titans have covered the line 4 of last 5 when bif line underdogs of 18.0 or more
Panthers at the line have covered just 7 last 19 when fav of 18.0 or more, and just 3 of last 10 when 18.0 or more and away
Tip: Panthers by 18
Dragons v Storm
@ Wollongong
Dragons have lost 4 of their last 5 in Wollongong
Dragons have lost 4 last 7 v Storm in Wollongong
Storm have won 10 of last 14 v Dragons
Storm have won 5 of 11 away from Melbourne games this season
Dragons #2 worst D season to date conceding 27.8 per week
Dragons have lost 8 of their last 10 games
Storm when interstate at the line are 15 from last 23 when fav of 12.5 or more
Tip: Storm by 18
Knights v Rabbits
@ Newcastle
Knights have won their last 6 games
Knights have won 7 of last 9 at home
Knights have improved to 5th on table for D, conceding 20.1 per game
Rabbits have won last 5 in Newcastle
Rabbits 5th consecutive road game off Sunshine Coast, Tamworth, Perth, Cairns
Rabbits have only won 3 of last 8 games, the last 2 v teams who sit 16th and 17th
Rabbits at the line are just 2 of last 11
Tip: Rabbits by 2
Raiders v Bulldogs
@ Canberra
Raiders have won last 7 v Bulldogs
Raiders have won the last v Bulldogs when in Canberra
Raiders have lost 3 of last 4 at home
Raiders sit 16th at the line with just 8 from 21
Bulldogs have lost 7 of their last 9 games
Bulldogs have the worst defensive record in the comp conceding 31.2 per game
Bulldogs in their last 8 games have conceded 41.5 per game
Raiders have very poor record at line as a home fav (just 30%)
Raiders have poor record as fav at the line covering just 17 of last 54 (31%) and 12 of 44 (27%) when fav of 4.0 or more
Tip: Raiders by 8
Tips and Best for the week
Cowboys by 6
Warriors by 18
Eels by 4
Tigers by 16
Panthers by 18
Storm by 18
Rabbits by 2
Raiders by 8
Best Bet:
Warriors -12.5 $1.90
Best Any Time Try:
Reimis Smith (Storm) any time try $1.80
Last Week
Best Bet:
Eagles-Panthers under 43.5 $1.90
Best Any Time Try:
Stephen Crichton (Panthers) any time try $1.90
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Experienced pro MrG aka Gerard Condon provides expert NRL tips and content each week for our Reading The Play followers and subscribers. NRL Season Pass
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This is not a bookmaking or wagering site.
We provide previews, opinion and recommended sports tips only.
