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NRL Tips | Free Stats and Game Tips | Round 25 | 2023

 

This week’s interesting and quirky game stats for each game plus our all individual game tips, margins and our best plays for the week

NRL Tips | Round 25 | 2023

This Weeks Media:

Topsport Market Watch Podcast  | Spotify Here | Apple Here

Ball and All Podcast | Spotify Here | Apple Here

Jimmy Smith Show SEN Radio | Here

NRL Tips | Games Round 25 | 2023

Cowboys v Sharks
@ Townsville

Sharks have won 9 of last 10 head to head

Sharks have won their last 4 in Townsville

Cowboys have won 8 of their last 12

Cowboys have won 6 of last 7 at Home and 11 of last 15 (73%)

Cowboys are 12 of last 18 at line when home fav of 4.0 or more

Sharks have covered line just 3 from last 12 v top 8 teams

Sharks have lost 8 of last 12 distant travel games (interstate or OS)

Sharks are just 4 of last 14 at the line when interstate

Tip: Cowboys by 6

 

Warriors v Eagles
@ Mt Smart

Warriors have won their last 5 and 8 of their last 9 games

Warriors have won 5 of last 7 at Mt Smart

Head to head recent record is 4 games each of last 8 played

Eagles have lost 5 of last 6 distant travel games

Eagles have won only 4 of 12 games away from Brookvale this season

Warriors are 3 from 9 when a fav of 6.5 or more

Warriors are #1 at the line this season with a 15 from 21 record

Eagles are #15 at the line this season with a 8 from 20 record

Eagles last 6 night games and all been points under

Tip: Warriors by 18

 

Eels v Roosters
@ Parramatta

Eels won 7 of last 8 at Home

Roosters have won 7 of last 8 head to head, and won the last 2 at Com Bank Stadium

Eels have not covered the last in their last 4 home games at Com Bank Stadium

Home teams off conceding 50 points the week prior have a very high strike record covering the line next start

9 of the last 11 match ups have produced points over

Roosters sit 17th (worst) at the line this season at just 8 from 21

Roosters when fav at the line are just 5 from 13 this season

Roosters at the line away from home (Moore Park or SCG) are just 5 from 16 at the line

Tip: Eels by 4

 

Charity Lunch

 

40% Sold

Tickets available for 1, 2, 4, 6, 8 or 10 – Book Now!

Friday 8th Sept – Red Lion Hotel Rozelle

Our annual Topsport NRL Finals Charity Lunch for Pass It On Clothing

Shane Flanagan guest speaker, Lara Pitt, Zac Bailey and a host of NRL personalities all in attendance for a fun filled social arvo talking all things NRL and semi finals – and raising money for an outstanding charity.

Lots of NRL raffle items, and quality auction items including a signed Cameron Munster QLD Origin jumper and a signed Reuben Cotter Australian World Cup jumper.

Last years event sold out quickly and we raised $23,500 for donation.

Tickets link here

 

Tigers v Dolphins
@ Parramatta

Tigers have lost their last 10 games

Dolphins have lost 8 of their last 9 games

Tigers have covered the line at 9 of last 12 at this ground

Defence is optional for these two, Tigers concede 26.9 per game, Dolphins concede 26.8 per game

Tip: Tigers by 16

 

Titans v Panthers
@ Robina

Panthers have won 8 of last 9 v Titans

Panthers have won 4 of last 5 head to head at Robina

Titans have lost 5 of last 7 at home

Panthers have won their last 11 as fav

Titans have covered the line 4 of last 5 when bif line underdogs of 18.0 or more

Panthers at the line have covered just 7 last 19 when fav of 18.0 or more, and just 3 of last 10 when 18.0 or more and away

Tip: Panthers by 18

 

Dragons v Storm
@ Wollongong

Dragons have lost 4 of their last 5 in Wollongong

Dragons have lost 4 last 7 v Storm in Wollongong

Storm have won 10 of last 14 v Dragons

Storm have won 5 of 11 away from Melbourne games this season

Dragons #2 worst D season to date conceding 27.8 per week

Dragons have lost 8 of their last 10 games

Storm when interstate at the line are 15 from last 23 when fav of 12.5 or more

Tip: Storm by 18

 

Knights v Rabbits
@ Newcastle

Knights have won their last 6 games

Knights have won 7 of last 9 at home

Knights have improved to 5th on table for D, conceding 20.1 per game

Rabbits have won last 5 in Newcastle

Rabbits 5th consecutive road game off Sunshine Coast, Tamworth, Perth, Cairns

Rabbits have only won 3 of last 8 games, the last 2 v teams who sit 16th and 17th

Rabbits at the line are just 2 of last 11

Tip: Rabbits by 2

 

Raiders v Bulldogs
@ Canberra

Raiders have won last 7 v Bulldogs

Raiders have won the last v Bulldogs when in Canberra

Raiders have lost 3 of last 4 at home

Raiders sit 16th at the line with just 8 from 21

Bulldogs have lost 7 of their last 9 games

Bulldogs have the worst defensive record in the comp conceding 31.2 per game

Bulldogs in their last 8 games have conceded 41.5 per game

Raiders have very poor record at line as a home fav (just 30%)

Raiders have poor record as fav at the line covering just 17 of last 54 (31%) and 12 of 44 (27%) when fav of 4.0 or more

Tip: Raiders by 8

 

Tips and Best for the week

Cowboys by 6

Warriors by 18

Eels by 4

Tigers by 16

Panthers by 18

Storm by 18

Rabbits by 2

Raiders by 8

Best Bet:

Warriors -12.5 $1.90 

Best Any Time Try:

Reimis Smith (Storm) any time try $1.80

Last Week

Best Bet:

Eagles-Panthers under 43.5 $1.90

Best Any Time Try:

Stephen Crichton (Panthers) any time try $1.90

 

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Mr G provides our NRL expert tips and game previews. Professional analysis from an experienced pro. Having coached at a senior level for 16 years including 3 years on the coaching staff of an NRL club Mr.G is an avid student of the game. He’s coached sides to win titles at a senior level, run the football arm of a successful district club, managed professional NRL players and worked in various development roles, so it’s fair to say the game of Rugby League is certainly in his blood and supports an experienced and unique offering. Mr.G now provides our subscribers with his NRL expert tips game previews and recommended NRL sports betting tips. Mr.G’s NRL tips betting plays and previews combine his knowledge and ‘read’ of the current weekly form with a statistical and betting analysis to provide his followers with a unique and successful approach. He spends hours each week watching and reviewing each and every game assessing the strengths and weakness of the form to then weigh against that of the NRL betting markets.