Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets | Flemington Derby Day

If you are looking for professional horse racing tips each Saturday then you are at the right place. Our professional analysts MrB and MrG provide our selective expert Horse Racing Best Bets each week for our Reading The Play Horse Racing subscribers. Last Friday-Saturday 6 tips, 3 winners and 28 units profit. Full details Here

Today’s free coverage for Derby Day does not include our subscription Best Bets.

Best

Best Win:

Flemington R5 #5 Powers Of Opal

Flemington R6 #3 Traffic Warden

Best Place:

Flemington R4 #1 Mighty Ulysses

Flemington R5 #1 Jenni’s Meadow

Best Multi:

Flemington R9 Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 1, 3, 7, 19

Flemington

Flemington Race 4 1400m The Damien Oliver Group 2 – Open Handicap

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
1	Mighty Ulysses	$11.00 win	$25 each way

Tips: 3, 5, 2

Suggested $50 bet:

$25 win $25 place #1 Mighty Ulysses

#1 Mighty Ulysses only got clear late and then strong to win first up, is 3 from 3 when second up, draws and maps well and can run well here. No knock the two favs #5 Jimmystar and #2 Another Will from the Maher stable, look the obvious to beat but happy to have an interest on the #1.

Flemington Race 5 Wakeful Stakes 2000m Group 2 – 3yo Fillies

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
1	Jenni’s Meadow	$10.00 win	$5 win
5	Powers Of Opal	$2.30 win	$45 win

Tips: 5, 1, 7

Suggested $50 bet:

$5 win #1 Jenni’s Meadow

$45 win #5 Powers Of Opal

Fillies distance race over 2000m as the lead up the Oaks next Thursday. #3 Powers Of Opal looks one of the better bets for the day, won by 5.5L latest over 1600m and looks a promising stayer suited by the big track and step out in distance. #1 Jenni’s meadow was strong to the line latest over 2000m out of what looks a strong form race.

Flemington Race 6 Coolmore Stud Stakes Group 1 3yo

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
3	Traffic Warden	$4.00 win	$30 win
13	Lady Of Camelot	$7.50 win	$10 win
14	Bellatrix Star	$7.00 win	$10 win

Tips: 3, 14, 13

Suggested $50 bet:

$30 win #3 Traffic Warden

$10 win #13 Lady Of Camalot

$10 win #14 Bellatrix Star

Multi options: Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 3, 13, 14

Prestigious 1200m straight sprint that can also be a stallion making highlight race, $1.2 mil to the winner and likely then worth $30 mil in sale to any one of the major studs! Keen #3 Traffic Warden gives this a big shake, late scratching at the barrier for The Everest, well bred stallion prospect with the right trainer and ownership to focus on the bigger prize here (stud career), last 3 runs (win/placings) have form all around quality like Anode, Storm Boy, Coleman and Broadsiding. Waller trained smart Snitzel colt, gets blinkers on looks good ew chance; The two fillies both bring outstanding sprint form and can give this a shake.

Flemington Race 7 Victoria Derby 2500 Group 1 3yo

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
1	El Castello	$4.40 win	$30 win
7	Politely Dun	$12.00 win	$8 win
8	King Of Thunder	$5.50 win	$12 win

Tips: 1, 7, 8, 11

Suggested $50 bet:

$30 win #1 El Castello

$8 win #7 Politely Dun

$12 win #8 King Of Thunder

Multi options: Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 1, 7, 8, 11

Time honoured 2500m Derby with aspiring 3yo stayers getting out to a distance test for the first time in their career. #1 El Castello is the measuring stick, won last four and still looks on the up but gets a poor draw and questionable race map position, might still just be too good; #7 Politely Dun and #8 King Of Thunder were making ground strongly late last Saturday and the big track will suit

Flemington Race 8 Empire Rose Stakes 1600 Group 1 Fillies & Mares

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
1	Atishu	$4.50 win	$12 win
2	Amelias Jewel	$6.00 win	$30 win
3	Orchestral	$8.50 win	$8 win

Tips: 2, 1, 3

Suggested $50 bet:

$12 win #1 Atishu

$30 win #2 Amelias Jewel

$8 win #3 Orchestral

Multi options: Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 1, 2, 3

WFA (Weight For Age no handicaps at the weights) for the Mares means the class runners invariably stand out, #2 Amelias Jewel yet to win for new trainer this prep but been close up all around quality form lines, back to her own grade at set weights can now shine; #1 Atishu track and distance specialist looks ready to go; #3 Orchestral smart NZ mare who has won 5 of last 8 starts, excuses mid race last start, is 2 from 3 when second up, gets blinkers back of to sharpen her focus. Good race, top three look the stand outs.

Flemington Race 9 Sprint 1100 Group 3 4yo up Mares open

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
1	Facile	$8.00 place	$9 place
3	Sans Doute	$5.00 win	$18 win
7	Infancy	$15.00 win	$7 win
19	Pondalowie	$6.50 win	$16 win

Tips: 3, 7, 19, 1

Suggested $50 bet:

$9.00 place #1 Facile

$18 win #3 Sans Doute

$7 win #7 Infancy

$16 win #19 Pondalowie

Multi options: Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 1, 3, 7, 19

Very open race, we could have three cracks at this and still miss. #1 Facile first up off key stable change has looked to trial well and gets Zahra, looks a big price each way; #3 Sans Doute can run very quick closing sectionals, straight race suits winning 2 from 2 and JMac takes the ride; #7 Infancy won quality 1100m last prep, latest two runs have had excuses, flew late latest breaking 11secs with fastest final 200m of the day, 2 from 4 at 1100 and Bowman rides; #19 Pondalowie from smart stable, closed strongly late both runs this prep running sharp sectionals. Looked a race to play around with a few picks and options.

Rosehill

Rosehill Race 8 Golden Eagle 1500 4yo

Number	Name	Current Odds	$ Outlay
12	Lazzat	$5.00 win	$20 win
19	Ascoli Piceno	$4.20 win	$30 win

Tips: 19, 12, 13, 3, 1, 10

Suggested $50 bet:

$20 win #12 Lazzat

$30 win #19 Ascoli Piceno

Multi options: Boxed Quinella or Exacta: 1, 3, 10, 12, 13, 16, 19

The two overseas visitors look the measuring stick here, their international runs, ratings and form lines look well above the rest if that is what they show up with, if as suggested they have settled in and then get some luck in running look very hard to beat. #12 Lazzat looks to roll forward and lead or sit on pace and give them something to run down on straightening, the Japanese mare #19 Ascoli Piceno looks very smart, drawn very awkwardly (19) but even off the wide draw and tricky run she might just blouse them all late.

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MrB is a long term long-term form student and punter who has joined our team in August 2022 to focus on the Spring carnival. His approach is simple, less should be more, a focus on his 4 best plays for a Saturday where the quality of form is at its best and well exposed. MrB does all his own work using a combination of ratings and time data, speed maps and video assessment to then look to isolate his best plays for the day. It is a personal, manual approach that looks to find a single key winning chance in a given race. We only bet on and around the form in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and on occasions Perth with a preference for fit on speed runners from good barrier draws being ridden by quality riders that look well placed in this next race to be a high percentage winning chance.

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Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets | Flemington Derby Day