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NRL Expert Tips | Grand Final Ledger 2024

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Gerard Condon provides his NRL tips, best of the week play and game previews for Reading The Play followers. Full details on his full weekly NRL coverage NRL Expert Tips here

NRL Grand Final Ledger Summary 2024

Summary Position

Grand Final:
Bet: 21.5u
Storm win = 9.25u Profit
Panthers win = 6.7u Profit

First 3 weeks Finals:
Bet: 16u Return: 24.57u Profit: 8.57u

Season Long Futures (excluding Storm and Panthers)
Bet: 48.5u Return: 82.07u Profit: 33.57u

Final Results (after Grand Final result)
Storm win = 51.39u Profit
Panthers win = 48.84u Profit

In addition to this will be the week to week rounds final results / profit

Current Grand Final Position:

Futures – to win premiership

5u Storm to win premiership $2.40
6.5u Panthers to win premiership $2.80
5u Storm to win premiership $3.75
5u Panthers to win GF $2.00

Bet: 21.5u
Storm win = 9.25u Profit
Panthers win = 6.7u Profit

Finals Games – Weeks 1 to 3

Bet: 16u Return: 24.57u Profit: 8.57u

3.5u Panthers -11.5 $1.90 BB

1.5u Cowboys +4.5 $1.90

3.5u Roosters -3.5 $1.90 BB

1.5u Roosters +7.5

2.5u win all up Storm x Cowboys $1.85

3.5u Eagles +1.5 BB

Overall Futures Bets (excluding Storm and Panthers)
Bet: 48.5u Return: 82.07u Profit: 33.57u

L 6.5u Roosters to win premiership $3.75

L 1.5u Eagles to make GF $9.00

L 1u Eagles to win premiership $18.00

L 5u Broncos to win Premiership $4.50

W 4u Rabbits to miss top 8 $3.50

W 4.5u Storm to make top 4 $2.75

W 3.5u Sharks to make top 4 $4.00

W 4u Roosters to make top 4 $2.50

L 2u Roosters Minor Premiers $9.50

W 4u Eagles to make top 8 $2.40

L 4u Least Wins Dragons $3.25

W 6.5u Least Wins Tigers $3.40

L 1u Top Try Scorer Xaiver Coates (Storm) $26

L 1u Top Points Scorer Ryan Papenhuyzen $21

Grand Final Week Summary Notes

Additional bets (and reasoning to follow)

5u Panthers to win GF $2.00

Player of the Match (Clive Churchill Medal)

3u Jahrome Hughes $5.00

3.1u Nathan Cleary $4.80

 

For season long subscribers who have followed all bets, we will place an additional bet on the Panthers to win the GF to balance the ledger / book for the Grand Final  + Finals + Futures result.

This will then mean either can win on Sunday, and

Storm win = 9.25u profit on GF
Panthers win = 6.7u profit on GF

Grand Final  + Finals + Futures result:
Storm win = 51.3u profit
Panthers win = 49.8u profit

So additional bet is
5u Panthers to win GF $2.00

 

Grand Final – my personal view is that Storm win on Sunday, and will be my tip and betting play for any preview, radio or podcast

Both teams have played the same two opponents through the finals series, my view is the Storm have had tougher stronger form games and come through each stronger to the end (second half).

Suspect Panthers are a slight level behind the Storm, one is peaking for a GF appearance and win while for the Panthers they are nothing but class but now into a 5th straight GF with a strong line up but arguably the weakest of the last 5 years. Ivan is a master of big game motivation but think the Storm as they have the last two games get stronger as the game gets longer.

So tip is Storm to win, if it was a one out week I’d be betting the Storm, but to hedge the book and square the overall return result with either winner am placing a bet on Panthers.

 

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Having coached at a senior level for 16 years including 3 years on the coaching staff of an NRL club Gerard Condon is a long term avid student of the game. He’s coached sides to win titles at a senior level, run the football arm of a successful district club, managed professional players and worked in various development roles, so it’s fair to say the game of Rugby League is certainly in his blood and supports an experienced and unique offering.

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